Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.881495 1.067210 1.263138 1.483597 1.723214 1.974390 2.256242
2025-02-09 0.678001 0.946272 1.248785 1.607912 2.016196 2.460420 2.975122
2025-02-16 0.549719 0.856096 1.218787 1.665056 2.186827 2.767119 3.451686
2025-02-23 0.435811 0.762882 1.169679 1.687468 2.308271 3.011879 3.854483
2025-03-02 0.313964 0.636428 1.061712 1.623572 2.315109 3.113895 4.084591
2025-03-09 0.215386 0.521986 0.954238 1.547937 2.297832 3.179791 4.266167
2025-03-16 0.150740 0.442732 0.882679 1.508754 2.317463 3.283036 4.485601
2025-03-23 0.117618 0.407081 0.866839 1.538371 2.419591 3.482660 4.816510
2025-03-30 0.085323 0.363847 0.834579 1.542057 2.486043 3.637030 5.092122
2025-04-06 0.054702 0.312417 0.783532 1.515423 2.510259 3.737359 5.301220
2025-04-13 0.044023 0.302236 0.795889 1.576390 2.647439 3.976259 5.676546
2025-04-20 0.035642 0.294756 0.811358 1.641026 2.789022 4.220466 6.058336
2025-04-27 0.030698 0.297509 0.847460 1.741260 2.985673 4.543099 6.547749
2025-05-04 0.027909 0.306477 0.895029 1.859777 3.208879 4.901737 7.084547
2025-05-11 0.020866 0.296979 0.908615 1.927107 3.362739 5.172637 7.513717
2025-05-18 0.012081 0.272594 0.892949 1.949505 3.455440 5.366286 7.848608
2025-05-25 0.002653 0.220968 0.819873 1.881001 3.422060 5.398478 7.984090
2025-06-01 NaN 0.171697 0.741770 1.798883 3.365906 5.398629 8.077579
2025-06-08 NaN 0.139419 0.691676 1.756448 3.361335 5.462050 8.246608
2025-06-15 NaN 0.128726 0.688115 1.788553 3.461019 5.659895 8.582731
2025-06-22 NaN 0.112473 0.668414 1.792556 3.519991 5.804359 8.851921
2025-06-29 NaN 0.090997 0.630584 1.763668 3.530422 5.884492 9.039829
2025-07-06 NaN 0.090248 0.648188 1.829766 3.678000 6.144646 9.454204